Predicting recurrence in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours: role of ARX and alternative lengthening of telomeres (ALT)

Background: While many pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours (PanNET) show indolent behaviour, predicting the biological behaviour of small nonfunctional PanNETs remains a challenge. Nonfunctional PanNETs with an epigenome and transcriptome that resemble islet alpha cells (ARX-positive) are more aggressive than neoplasms that resemble islet beta cells (PDX1-positive). In this study, we explore the ability of immunohistochemistry for ARX and PDX1 and telomere-specific fluorescence in situ hybridisation (FISH) for alternative lengthening of telomeres (ALT) to predict recurrence.

Methods: Two hundred fifty-six patients with PanNETs were identified, and immunohistochemistry for ARX and PDX1 was performed. Positive staining was defined as strong nuclear staining in >5% of tumour cells. FISH for ALT was performed in a subset of cases.

Results: ARX reactivity correlated with worse disease-free survival (DFS) (P = 0.011), while there was no correlation between PDX1 reactivity and DFS (P = 0.52). ALT-positive tumours (n = 63, 31.8%) showed a significantly lower DFS (P < 0.0001) than ALT-negative tumours (n = 135, 68.2%). ARX reactivity correlated with ALT positivity (P < 0.0001). Among nonfunctional tumours, recurrence was noted in 18.5% (30/162) of ARX-positive tumours and 7.5% (5/67) of ARX-negative tumours. Among WHO grade 1 and 2 PanNETs with ≤2 cm tumour size, 14% (6/43) of ARX-positive tumours recurred compared to 0 of 33 ARX-negative tumours and 33.3% (3/9) ALT-positive tumours showed recurrence versus 4.4% (2/45) ALT-negative tumours.

Conclusion: Immunohistochemistry for ARX and ALT FISH status may aid in distinguishing biologically indolent cases from aggressive small low-grade PanNETs, and help to identify patients who may preferentially benefit from surgical intervention.