Soluble ST2 for Risk Stratification and the Prediction of Mortality in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation

Am J Cardiol. 2017 Sep 15;120(6):986-993. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2017.06.033. Epub 2017 Jun 29.

Abstract

This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of soluble ST2 (sST2) for risk stratification in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). In 461 patients undergoing TAVI, sST2 was determined at baseline and categorized into quartiles. An optimum cutoff of 29 ng/ml was calculated. Primary end point was 1-year all-cause mortality. Results were validated in an independent cohort. Patients with sST2 >29 ng/ml had an increased 30-day (9.7% vs 4.6%, p = 0.043) and 1-year mortality (38.1% vs 21.8%, p = 0.001). In accordance, patients with N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) >8145 pg/ml revealed a comparable 30-day mortality (7.9% vs 4.7%, p = 0.189) and 1-year mortality (39.5% vs 21.0%, p <0.001). In univariate regression analysis, sST2 and NT-proBNP were associated with increased mortality risk. In multivariate regression analysis, independent predictors of mortality were logistic EuroSCORE, chronic renal failure, left ventricular ejection fraction, and sST2. In receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, sST2 did not provide incremental prognostic information beyond that obtained from surgical risk scores such as the STS-PROM or NT-proBNP. Similar findings could be achieved in an independent validation cohort. In conclusion, sST2 is independently associated with adverse outcome after TAVI but was not superior to NT-proBNP or surgical risk scores for the prediction of postprocedural outcomes.

Publication types

  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Aortic Valve Stenosis / blood
  • Aortic Valve Stenosis / mortality*
  • Aortic Valve Stenosis / surgery
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Cause of Death / trends
  • Female
  • Germany / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Interleukin-1 Receptor-Like 1 Protein / blood*
  • Male
  • Prognosis
  • ROC Curve
  • Receptors, Interleukin-1
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Survival Rate / trends
  • Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement / mortality*

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • IL1RL1 protein, human
  • Interleukin-1 Receptor-Like 1 Protein
  • Receptors, Interleukin-1