Long-term prognostic value of risk scores after drug-eluting stent implantation for unprotected left main coronary artery: A pooled analysis of the ISAR-LEFT-MAIN and ISAR-LEFT-MAIN 2 randomized clinical trials

Catheter Cardiovasc Interv. 2017 Jan;89(1):1-10. doi: 10.1002/ccd.26645. Epub 2016 Aug 12.

Abstract

Objectives: To evaluate the long-term prognostic value of risk scores in the setting of drug-eluting stent (DES) implantation for uLMCA.

Background: Data on the prognostic value of novel risk scores developed to select the most appropriate revascularization strategy in patients undergoing DES implantation for uLMCA disease are relatively limited.

Methods: The study represents a patient-level pooled analysis of the ISAR-LEFT-MAIN (607 patients randomized to paclitaxel-eluting or sirolimus-eluting stents) and the ISAR-LEFT-MAIN-2 (650 patients randomized to everolimus-eluting or zotarolimus-eluting stents) randomized trials. The Syntax Score (SxScore) as well the Syntax Score II (SS-II), the EuroSCORE and the Global Risk Classification (GRC) were calculated. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality.

Results: At a mean follow-up of 3 years there were 160 deaths (12.7%). The death-incidence was significantly higher in the upper tertiles than in the intermediate or lower ones for all risk scores (log-rank test P < 0.01 for all comparisons). The discriminatory power of a multivariable model for prediction of 3-year mortality was significantly improved after the inclusion of EuroSCORE (adjusted area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve = 0.779, 95% confidence interval 0.747 to 0.810, P = 0.008), but not after the inclusion of SxScore, SS II, or GRC.

Conclusions: In patients undergoing DES implantation for uLMCA disease, all evaluated risk scores were able to stratify the mortality risk at long-term follow-up. EuroSCORE was the only risk score that significantly improved the discriminatory power of a multivariable model to predict long-term mortality. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Keywords: clinical trials; drug-eluting stent; left main coronary disease; percutaneous coronary intervention; risk stratification.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Area Under Curve
  • Cardiovascular Agents / administration & dosage*
  • Cardiovascular Agents / adverse effects
  • Coronary Angiography
  • Coronary Artery Disease / diagnostic imaging
  • Coronary Artery Disease / mortality
  • Coronary Artery Disease / therapy*
  • Decision Support Techniques*
  • Discriminant Analysis
  • Drug-Eluting Stents*
  • Everolimus / administration & dosage
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Paclitaxel / administration & dosage
  • Patient Selection
  • Percutaneous Coronary Intervention / adverse effects
  • Percutaneous Coronary Intervention / instrumentation*
  • Percutaneous Coronary Intervention / mortality
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Prosthesis Design
  • ROC Curve
  • Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Sirolimus / administration & dosage
  • Sirolimus / analogs & derivatives
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome

Substances

  • Cardiovascular Agents
  • Everolimus
  • zotarolimus
  • Paclitaxel
  • Sirolimus