Power calculations and placebo effect for future clinical trials in progressive supranuclear palsy

Mov Disord. 2016 May;31(5):742-7. doi: 10.1002/mds.26580. Epub 2016 Mar 7.

Abstract

Background: Two recent randomized, placebo-controlled trials of putative disease-modifying agents (davunetide, tideglusib) in progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP) failed to show efficacy, but generated data relevant for future trials.

Methods: We provide sample size calculations based on data collected in 187 PSP patients assigned to placebo in these trials. A placebo effect was calculated.

Results: The total PSP-Rating Scale required the least number of patients per group (N = 51) to detect a 50% change in the 1-year progression and 39 when including patients with ≤ 5 years disease duration. The Schwab and England Activities of Daily Living required 70 patients per group and was highly correlated with the PSP-Rating Scale. A placebo effect was not detected in these scales.

Conclusions: We propose the 1-year PSP-Rating Scale score change as the single primary readout in clinical neuroprotective or disease-modifying trials. The Schwab and England Activities of Daily Living could be used as a secondary outcome. © 2016 International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Keywords: clinical trials; placebo effect; power calculation; progressive supranuclear palsy; rate of progression.

Publication types

  • Review

MeSH terms

  • Activities of Daily Living
  • Humans
  • Oligopeptides / pharmacology
  • Outcome Assessment, Health Care / statistics & numerical data*
  • Placebo Effect*
  • Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic / statistics & numerical data*
  • Research Design / statistics & numerical data*
  • Sample Size
  • Severity of Illness Index*
  • Supranuclear Palsy, Progressive / drug therapy*
  • Thiadiazoles / pharmacology

Substances

  • Oligopeptides
  • Thiadiazoles
  • davunetide
  • tideglusib